Despite the difficulties faced during the housing market recession, one aspect shines brightly: the remarkable strength of the housing market. Despite economic challenges, the housing market remains robust and stable.It could be the strongest it has ever been.
In this article, we will discuss two important factors that support this claim, highlighting how the market remains strong and has unique qualities during these uncertain times.
1. The Current Mortgage Rate on Existing Mortgages
First, let’s take a look at the current interest rates on existing mortgages in the housing market during the recession. According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), in the fourth quarter of the previous year, it was found that over 80% of existing mortgages have rates below 5%. This is an important finding that shows favorable conditions within the housing market despite the recession. Additionally, more than 50% of mortgages have rates below 4% (see graph).
These numbers highlight the affordability and appeal of mortgages during this time.mortgage rates in the current housing market recession.
Although there are concerns about a foreclosure crisis and homeowners facing difficulties in paying their mortgages during the housing market recession.
Homeowners who have favorable mortgage rates are highly motivated to hold onto their homes.
They know that finding another affordable property or renting an apartment would be challenging. Even downsizing may not provide the financial relief they need due to higher mortgage rates in today’s market.Even downsizing may not provide the expected financial relief due to higher mortgage rates in today’s market.
The significance of this situation lies in its contribution to a solid foundation for the housing market at present. The substantial number of homeowners benefiting from low mortgage rates acts as a preventive measure, averting a crisis characterized by a deluge of foreclosures similar to the one experienced in 2008. Their ability to maintain affordable mortgage payments plays a pivotal role in safeguarding the market from the threat of widespread foreclosures. Consequently, the housing market benefits from enhanced stability, setting it apart from the tumultuous conditions of the past.
2. The Amount of Homeowner Equity
Another key factor contributing to the solidity of the housing market amidst the recession is the substantial equity held by Americans. Recent data from the Census and ATTOM reveals a striking statistic: around 68% of homeowners have either fully paid off their mortgages or have at least 50% equity in their homes (see chart).
This abundance of homeowner equity has significant implications. Looking back at the 2008 crisis, some people had to make the tough choice of abandoning. Their homes because they owed more on their mortgages than their properties were worth.
However, the current situation is quite different, as homeowners have built up substantial equity in just the past few years. When homeowners have such substantial equity, it acts as a strong deterrent against a flood of distressed properties hitting the market.
similar to what happened during the previous crash. Additionally, this accumulation of equity provides a very solid foundation for today’s housing market.
The concept known as “equity rich” holds significant importance in the industry. The contrast with the circumstances witnessed during the 2008 crisis is stark. Back then, people had to make difficult decisions to abandon their homes because they owed more on their mortgages than their properties were worth.
However, the current situation is significantly different. Homeowners have worked hard to accumulate substantial equity in just the past few years.
This accumulation of equity is a game-changer. When homeowners have such a large amount of equity, it acts as a strong defense against the emergence of another wave of distressed properties that affected the market during the crash. It not only protects the housing market from such difficulties but also establishes a very solid foundation in today’s market.
The accumulation of equity not only signifies a shift in circumstances but also creates a powerful buffer against potential market challenges. The presence of substantial homeowner equity helps prevent a repetition of the distressing wave of foreclosures witnessed in the past, contributing to the market’s stability and resilience. Moreover, it provides an extremely strong foundation for today’s housing market, bolstering confidence and further solidifying its overall strength.
Bottom Line
The current housing market stands out as one of the most robust and solid markets we have experienced in our lifetime. This strength can be attributed to two key factors: homeowners’ determination to preserve their current mortgage rates and their substantial equity holdings. These factors distinguish the present situation from the conditions witnessed during the housing market recession in 2008.
Homeowners today are fiercely committed to retaining their current mortgage rates. They understand that these favorable rates are not easily replicable in the market, making it financially advantageous for them to stay in their homes. With the prospect of higher mortgage rates and the associated increased costs, homeowners are motivated to fight to keep their current rates. This dedication to maintaining affordable mortgage payments creates a strong foundation for the housing market, ensuring stability and resilience.
Additionally, homeowners currently possess a tremendous amount of equity in their properties. This accumulation of equity is a stark departure from the circumstances of 2008, where many individuals found themselves owing more on their mortgages than the value of their homes. The substantial equity holdings today provide homeowners with a strong financial position, reducing the likelihood of foreclosures and distressed property sales that plagued the market during the previous recession. This abundance of equity strengthens the housing market’s fundamentals, contributing to its overall solidity.
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Mon, 12 Jun 2023 23:58:38 +0000
by Mottek Group